🏠 Home 🧮 Calculators ⚖️ Compare ⚡ Decision Tools 🛠️ Tools 📚 Learn 📝 File ITR ✍️ Blog
← All Calculators
🎯
✓ Updated March 2026 · FY 2025-26

Goal Success
Probability

Get a probability score for your financial goal — and see exactly what SIP or step-up rate closes the gap.

Advertisement
🎯 Goal Details
Goal₹1 Cr
₹1L₹50L₹10Cr
Years20 yrs
1 yr20 yrs40 yrs
SIP₹20K
₹500₹2.5L₹5L
Return12%
4% FD12% Equity20%
Step-Up10%
0% Fixed10%25%
Goal Success Probability
74%
Based on projected corpus vs target
📊 Projected Corpus vs Goal

Goal Success Probability — How to Increase Your Chances

A financial goal without a probability estimate is just a wish. This calculator uses your SIP amount, step-up rate, expected return, and time horizon to calculate the likelihood of reaching your goal. Studies show that goal-based investing with automatic step-ups increases success probability by 40–60% vs flat SIPs.

🔗 Related Calculators

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is a good goal success probability? +

Above 80% is considered high probability. Between 60–80% is achievable with discipline. Below 60% means you need to either increase the monthly investment, extend the timeline, accept lower returns expectations, or reduce the goal amount.

Does step-up SIP really make a big difference? +

Significantly. A ₹20,000/month SIP at 12% for 20 years = ₹1.99Cr. The same SIP with 10% annual step-up = ₹4.8Cr — 2.4× more corpus. Step-up SIP is the most powerful tool for closing goal gaps without a large initial commitment.

📬 Get Free FY 2025-26 Finance Updates

Tax changes, RBI rate updates, new calculators — straight to your inbox. 100% free.